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Bitcoin Flashes Caution As RSI Repeats Post-Halving Behavior – Here’s Why

July 6, 2025
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Bitcoin is flashing warning indicators as its Relative Power Index (RSI) exhibits a well-known bearish divergence sample, the 2020 halving. This traditional setup typically precedes a interval of correction or consolidation, urging merchants to remain alert. 

Momentum Weakens Regardless of Increased Highs: RSI Indicators Warning

Crypto analyst TrendPro revealed that Bitcoin is at present exhibiting a bearish RSI divergence, a setup paying homage to the post-halving construction seen in 2020. Based on the analyst, whereas value motion continues to print increased highs, the RSI is forming decrease highs, indicating weakening momentum beneath the floor. This traditional divergence is usually considered as an indication that bullish energy is starting to wane.

TrendPro emphasised that this sort of setup has traditionally led to both a wholesome correction or a interval of sideways consolidation. Drawing parallels with the 2020 halving cycle, the analyst famous that such phases typically function cooling-off intervals earlier than the subsequent vital leg increased. 

Bitcoin
BTC mirroring previous pattern | Supply: TrendPro on X

Trying on the liquidation heatmap knowledge from Coinglass, TrendPro identified a big cluster of quick liquidations positioned between $110,000 and $120,000. The analyst defined that if Bitcoin manages to interrupt above the $110,000 threshold, it may see a fast value surge towards $119,000–$122,000, pushed by compelled quick protecting and a cascade of liquidations in that zone.

On the draw back, TrendPro additionally warned of great lengthy liquidations constructing across the $94,000–$96,000 vary. A drop into this space may set off a liquidity sweep, shaking out overleveraged lengthy positions. Based on TrendPro, this type of flush typically resets market circumstances and will present a stronger basis for the subsequent transfer upward as soon as weaker arms are cleared out.

Shakeout Or Breakout? Bitcoin At A Crossroads

TrendPro went additional to ask: “Do we want a shock earlier than increased?” The reply? “Not essentially.” Nonetheless, TrendPro identified that many bull markets have had a shakeout section, suggesting {that a} momentary correction might be a wholesome a part of the cycle. If BTC holds above $106,000 and breaks $110,000, the analyst famous {that a} quick squeeze to $120,000+ is feasible.

Nonetheless, if BTC can’t break increased, a pullback to $95,000 to reset leverage and RSI can be wholesome. This sort of transfer would filter over-leveraged positions and assist rebuild momentum, with out breaking the long-term pattern. The thought is just not bearish — it’s a possible setup for a stronger base.

In abstract, TrendPro suggested watching the $110,000–$112,000 breakout zone as a transfer above this degree may set off a brief squeeze. If the worth drops, $94,000–$96,000 is the important thing help zone for a bullish reset. Regardless of short-term fluctuations, the long-term bull pattern nonetheless appears intact.

Bitcoin
BTC buying and selling at $108,079 on the 1D chart | Supply: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured picture from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Editorial Course of for bitcoinist is centered on delivering completely researched, correct, and unbiased content material. We uphold strict sourcing requirements, and every web page undergoes diligent evaluate by our group of prime know-how consultants and seasoned editors. This course of ensures the integrity, relevance, and worth of our content material for our readers.



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Tags: behaviorBitcoinCautionFlashesHeresposthalvingRepeatsRSI
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