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Bitcoin Risks Drop To $69,000 If Pennant Support Breaks, Analyst Warns

January 9, 2026
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A cryptocurrency analyst has identified how Bitcoin might danger a crash to $69,230 if the assist degree of this Bear Pennant doesn’t maintain up.

Bitcoin May Want To Maintain Above $87,200

In a brand new publish on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked a couple of assist degree that BTC may need to carry with a purpose to keep away from a steep drop. The extent in query is the decrease line of a Bear Pennant.

A Pennant is a sample from technical evaluation (TA) that’s just like a Flag. Each of those patterns are characterised by an preliminary sharp transfer (generally often known as the “pole”) and a subsequent part of consolidation. However in contrast to Flags, which contain a parallel consolidation channel, Pennants contain a triangular channel as an alternative.

When the value is buying and selling contained in the consolidation portion of the Pennant, it encounters resistance on the higher line and assist on the decrease one. A breakout of both of those ranges could sign a sustained transfer in that route. Pennants are usually thought of to be continuation patterns, so a transfer could also be extra more likely to happen in the identical route because the pole. In a Bear Pennant, the pole is represented by a downward transfer, implying {that a} bearish continuation might succeed the sample.

Now, right here is the chart shared by Martinez that reveals the Bear Pennant that Bitcoin has been buying and selling inside on the each day timeframe during the last couple of months:

As displayed within the above graph, Bitcoin retested the higher line of the Pennant’s consolidation area when its value surged above $94,000. This retest ended up in rejection, and the coin has since retraced to decrease ranges.

If the present trajectory within the cryptocurrency continues, it’s potential {that a} retest of the assist degree might happen, which is located round $87,200. Because the sample concerned here’s a Bear Pennant, BTC failing a retest of this line might sign a bearish breakout.

Pennant breakouts are often thought of to result in a transfer that’s just like the pole in size. Based mostly on this, BTC’s breakout goal from the present sample might lie close to $69,000. “Bitcoin $BTC should maintain above $87,200 to keep away from a drop towards $69,230,” defined the analyst.

Bitcoin is presently additionally buying and selling close to an necessary on-chain degree: the Energetic Realized Worth. This indicator retains observe of the typical value foundation of the lively community individuals. In accordance with knowledge from on-chain analytics agency Glassnode, the Energetic Realized Worth is positioned at $87,700 proper now, that means that the lively traders are in a slight quantity of internet revenue.

Bitcoin Active Realized Price

BTC Worth

On the time of writing, Bitcoin is buying and selling round $90,400, up greater than 1% during the last week.

Bitcoin Price Chart



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Tags: AnalystBitcoinBreaksdropPennantRisksSupportWarns
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