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Is Bitcoin going to $40K? This analyst thinks so

December 16, 2025
in Altcoin
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GM. Some crypto tales conceal behind thick skins, however we have already carried out the peeling.

Try the information that is ripe as we speak:

🍍 Luke Gromen thinks $40K BTC is not out of the query;

🏦 JPMorgan’s new funding fund on Ethereum;

🍋 Ethereum Prysm bug slows community, React wallet-drainer exploit discovered + extra

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🍍 Market taste as we speak

 Crypto Market Cap: $2.95T -2.73% (24H)

  Identify
 
Value
24H
7D

Bitcoin
Bitcoin BTC
$86,117.64
-3.19%
-4.15%

Ethereum
Ethereum ETH
$2,961.98
-4.12%
-4.53%

BNB
BNB BNB
$847.75
-4.18%
-4.99%

XRP
XRP XRP
$1.91
-4.35%
-7.84%

The market seems like that second proper after a giant chuckle dies down and everybody appears round to see who’s about to say one thing.

Bitcoin’s nonetheless buying and selling within the $80K-$90K vary (fairly okay), but it surely’s additionally ~30% off the ~$126K peak it reached in early October (… not fairly okay).

This combo does one thing to individuals’s confidence. And Luke Gromen confirmed as much as say the quiet half out loud.

Gromen’s a macro analyst who’s spent years saying some model of: governments print = currencies weaken = exhausting belongings win.

Bitcoin has all the time been in that bucket for him, as a macro hedge.

However lately, as an alternative of speaking about Bitcoin as an apparent beneficiary proper now, Gromen talked about vulnerability.

He thinks BTC might slide into the $40K vary by 2026.

From $80K+, that is a 50% drop, which is form of on-brand for Bitcoin… however nonetheless chilling when mentioned out loud.

His logic:

If Bitcoin is meant to be the cleanest debasement commerce, why is gold doing the job higher rn?

Gold’s been ripping to new highs this 12 months whereas BTC’s been chopping sideways and struggling to say itself above key technical ranges.

That relative underperformance issues in macro. Capital does not care about your thesis – it cares about execution.

And recently, Bitcoin’s been telling a much less convincing story than the shiny rock.

(I do know. Annoying.)

Disappointed Jim Halpert

He additionally touched on one thing that is been resurfacing in market conversations: quantum computing danger.

Most cryptography specialists proceed to border this as a long-dated, theoretical concern, not an imminent menace.

However markets do not require immediacy for a story to have affect.

The presence of a further uncertainty – even a distant one – can affect habits on the margin.

Generally it does not set off promoting, but it surely does scale back enthusiasm.

Now, some Bitcoin analysts do not agree with Gromen.

They argue that:

👉 Lagging gold for just a few months does not invalidate the long-term thesis;

👉 Technicals aren’t future;

👉 And quantum danger is being overstated.

All honest factors.

Put collectively, the image is not bearish or bullish. It is transitional.

Bitcoin stays high-priced, extensively held, and structurally intact.

On the similar time, the market is testing how a lot conviction really exists at these ranges with out a recent catalyst.

That stress explains the present really feel: calm on the floor, cautious beneath.

Divider

🥝 Memecoin harvest

Sir, these cash are pumping tougher than your uncle at weddings 🕺

Knowledge as of 11:10 AM EST.

Try these memecoins and many extra right here.

Divider

JPMorgan launched a brand new funding fund.

By itself, that is about as thrilling as listening to a financial institution opened one other checking account 😴

This fund does a really primary job: it holds money safely and pays a small quantity of curiosity.

Massive corporations and huge buyers use merchandise like this when they need their cash to make them some extra money whereas staying boring. “Do not lose it and provides me somewhat yield” vibes.

Thus far, completely regular.

What makes this fund price speaking about, although, is how JPMorgan determined to run it.

👉 Usually, when somebody invests in a fund like this, every thing is tracked contained in the financial institution’s personal programs.

👉 However with this new fund, JPMorgan added a special strategy to preserve observe of possession – they concern tokens on Ethereum that symbolize possession.

Shocked kid sipping a milkshake

Now, why would JPMorgan do that in any respect?

As a result of on the institutional scale, one of many hardest issues is not cash – it is maintaining everybody’s information in sync.

When possession is tracked throughout a number of programs, each change requires checks, reconciliation, and ready.

Utilizing a blockchain offers JPMorgan:

👉 One shared document of possession;

👉 Computerized updates;

👉 Fewer shifting components behind the scenes.

… And why do you have to care?

Properly, just a few causes:

🧱 Ethereum is getting used as monetary infrastructure;

🏦 That is institutional validation with out the hype;

🔗 Tokenization is shifting from idea to observe;

🌐 That is how blockchains win long-term.

And the primary takeaway is that this:

Crypto does not must overthrow finance to win.

Generally, profitable appears like being so helpful that the most important establishments on the earth begin utilizing it.

And this variation issues.

Now you are within the know. However take into consideration your folks – they in all probability do not know. I’m wondering who might repair that… 😃🫵

Unfold the phrase and be the hero you realize you might be!

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Tags: 40KAnalystBitcoinThinks
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