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Major Recession Fears Just Hit (Here’s What’s Driving Them)

August 5, 2024
in Web3
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TL;DR

Full Story

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana all shed insane quantities of worth final week.

Why? Bear with us as we cook dinner for a second…

Think about if an plane had a 5 minute delay on any steering changes made by the pilot…

(It’d make flying Spirit, or any Boeing airplane, that a lot scarier).

Weirdly sufficient — that’s type of how the Federal Reserve pilots the US economic system with rate of interest changes.

Each time they tweak rates of interest, it takes — anticipate it…

Eighteen complete months for the consequences to point out within the economic system.

Which suggests when financial knowledge begins flashing warning alerts, it’s typically too late, and the Fed can’t regulate rapidly sufficient to stem any bleeds.

Over the previous 12 months or so, the Fed has been attempting to string a needle that appears like this:

Weaken the economic system sufficient in order that we don’t enter hyperinflation…whereas additionally avoiding a recession (aka: pull off a ‘gentle touchdown’).

Which is kinda like attempting to fillet a fish with a hammer.

A couple of month again, we began to see indicators that the economic system was weakening, although solely mildly — which is sweet if we would like a gentle touchdown.

…however over the previous week, we noticed indicators that this financial weakening is accelerating, with knowledge that confirmed payrolls have been reducing whereas unemployment was growing at a a lot quicker fee than anticipated.

With that worry got here a grueling market unload.

BTC dumped from ~$70k to ~$57.1k, ETH took a dive from ~$3.4k to ~$2.6k, and Solana shed worth from ~$193 right down to ~$130.

Alright, now you understand.



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Tags: DrivingfearsHeresHitMajorrecessionWhats
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