“Sure” shares for “Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept. 10?” had been buying and selling at 84 cents noon Tuesday in New York, indicating the market sees an 84% probability he’ll undergo with it. The bets are written into a wise contract on the Polygon blockchain: Every share pays out $1 (in USDC, a stablecoin, or cryptocurrency that often trades 1:1 for {dollars}) if the prediction comes true, and zilch if not.
